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India TV Exit Poll In The Indian Press And Internet

Source: India TV 

Wednesday, May 13, 2009 07:04 PM IST (01:34 PM GMT)

India TV Releases the Nation's Most Exhaustive Exit Poll  

New Delhi, Delhi, India, Wednesday, May 13, 2009 -- (Business Wire India)

India TV today released the nation’s most exhaustive exit poll spelling out the political picture ahead.

"The results we are reporting have been updated till the very last minute. In our commitment to cutting-edge journalism and providing the most credible and exhaustive input to the political discourse, our survey employed over 1,000 enumerators to cover over 1,60,000 respondents in 530 Parliamentary seats,” India TV Editor-in-Chief Rajat Sharma, one of the senior-most political analysts in the country, said.

“This massive exercise, undertaken on our behalf by C-Voter, was spread over one month and covered all 5 phases of the elections," Mr Sharma said.

For detailed numbers on India TV’s exit poll please click here.

For press backgrounder on India TV click here

Media contact details

Rohit Bansal,

India TV,

ᄧ (120) 3051000, 3051005,

rohitbansal@indiatvnews.com

Link: http://www.businesswireindia.com/PressRelease.asp'b2mid=18927

 

India TV Releases the Nation's Most Exhaustive Exit Poll   

NEW DELHI, DELHI, INDIA  13-05-2009 07:04 PM 

India TV today released the nation's most exhaustive exit poll spelling out the political picture ahead.

"The results we are reporting have been updated till the very last minute. In our commitment to cutting-edge journalism and providing the most credible and exhaustive input to the political discourse, our survey employed over 1,000 enumerators to cover over 1,60,000 respondents in 530 Parliamentary seats,' India TV Editor-in-Chief Rajat Sharma, one of the senior-most political analysts in the country, said.

'This massive exercise, undertaken on our behalf by C-Voter, was spread over one month and covered all 5 phases of the elections," Mr Sharma said. For detailed numbers on India TV's exit poll please click here.

Link: http://www.telegraphindia.com/external/display.jsp'mode=details&id=18927

India TV Releases the Nation's Most Exhaustive Exit Poll 

Businesswire  13 May 2009, Wednesday  India TV today released the nation's most exhaustive exit poll spelling out the political picture ahead.

"The results we are reporting have been updated till the very last minute.   In our commitment to cutting-edge journalism and providing the most credible and exhaustive input to the political discourse, our survey employed over 1,000 enumerators to cover over 1,60,000 respondents in 530 Parliamentary seats,' India TV Editor-in-Chief Rajat Sharma, one of the senior-most political analysts in the country, said.

'This massive exercise, undertaken on our behalf by C-Voter, was spread over one month and covered all 5 phases of the elections," Mr Sharma said.

For detailed numbers on India TV's exit poll please click here.

Link: http://www.merinews.com/catFull.jsp'articleID=15769294  

India TV Releases the Nation's Most Exhaustive Exit Poll

Date: 13-05-2009 07:04 PM

Source: India TV (Business Wire India)

Location: New Delhi

India TV today released the nation’s most exhaustive exit poll spelling out the political picture ahead.

"The results we are reporting have been updated till the very last minute. In our commitment to cutting-edge journalism and providing the most credible and exhaustive input to the political discourse, our survey employed over 1,000 enumerators to cover over 1,60,000 respondents in 530 Parliamentary seats,” India TV Editor-in-Chief Rajat Sharma, one of the senior-most political analysts in the country, said.

“This massive exercise, undertaken on our behalf by C-Voter, was spread over one month and covered all 5 phases of the elections," Mr Sharma said. For detailed numbers on India TV’s exit poll please click here.

Link: http://news.webindia123.com/news/press_showdetails.asp'id=11055&cat=Press

India TV Releases the Nation's Most Exhaustive Exit Poll

Our Special Correspondent

May 13th, 2009

India TV has released the nation’s most exhaustive exit poll spelling out the political picture ahead.

"The results we are reporting have been updated till the very last minute. In our commitment to cutting-edge journalism and providing the most credible and exhaustive input to the political discourse, our survey employed over 1,000 enumerators to cover over 1,60,000 respondents in 530 Parliamentary seats,” India TV Editor-in-Chief Rajat Sharma, one of the senior-most political analysts in the country, said.

“This massive exercise, undertaken on our behalf by C-Voter, was spread over one month and covered all 5 phases of the elections," Mr Sharma said.

Link: http://www.tvnext.in/news/139/ARTICLE/1998/2009-05-13.html

UPA to be number one in hung Lok Sabha, India TV

(Source: IANS)

Published: Wed, 13 May 2009 at 17:07 ISTF

New Delhi: The Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) will finish as the single largest coalition in a hung Lok Sabha with 195-201 seats, an India TV exit poll said Wednesday.

This tally could go up to 227-237 if the seats bagged by the estranged Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) and Samajwadi Party were also to be included, it said.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) was expected to finish with 189-195 Lok Sabha seats and the Third Front with 113-121 seats, it said.

The survey covered 530 seats and involved 1,000 enumerators.

Link: http://www.samaylive.com/news/upa-to-be-number-one-in-hung-lok-sabha-india-tv/626553.html

Andhra Pradesh could swing it for UPA: Exit polls

14 May 2009, 0102 hrs IST, TNN

NEW DELHI: Exit polls aired by TV channels have pointed to Congress emerging as the single largest party and best placed to form a government along with its allies. BJP and its NDA partners are not too far behind with polls pointing to a close contest between the alliance and Congress-led UPA.

Congress seems to have bolstered its prospects, according to exit polls, by staving off a mauling in Andhra Pradesh with projections in the range of 22 to 29 seats of the 42 in the state. If this prediction turns out to be correct, it could well be a significant marker in the elections as Congress would have blunted the combined TDP-TRS-Left front.

The TDP was seen to have lost votes, with the CNN-IBN exit poll suggesting a steep drop of 7% in its vote share. The fledgling Praja Rajyam Party is seen to have dipped into the vote share of both Congress and TDP, particularly in the coastal areas. The sold backing of dalit and Muslim voters could be an important factor in keeping Congress afloat in the state. But projections for the state assembly point to a hung verdict.

Exit polls also show that J Jayalalitha's AIADMK-led alliance is not sweeping the elections. The Star poll shows DMK and Congress winning 25 seats to AIADMK's nine, the PMK-MDMK three and CPM two. Only India TV gave the AIADMK alliance winning 26 seats even though the channel also gave a lead to Congress in Andhra Pradesh. There was good news for BJP in Madhya Pradesh where exit polls pointed to a near-sweep.

According to exit poll pointers, BJP has been hurt by its poor performance in states like Punjab where its alliance with Shiromani Akali Dal is floundering. The party, however, seems poised to do well in states like Bihar where, in partnership with JD(U), it is likely to sweep RJD boss Lalu Prasad off centrestage. The party may well be poised to win as many as 30-odd of the 40 seats in the state.

BJP is also doing well in Gujarat, Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand where it has improved its positions. The exit polls show BJP winning between 19-20 seats in Gujarat while Congress gets around 6-7 seats. In Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand, projections show between 8-9 seats for BJP. In Assam, polls point to eight seats for BJP-AGP combine.

Orissa points to gains for Congress, up to 10 seats with BJP getting squeezed out in the 2-3 range with BJD getting around seven. The CNN-IBN poll showed Congress-led UDF on a comeback trail in Kerala with around 46% of the vote, up by 8%. According to the channel, in Maharashtra, Congress-NCP seem to have a vote share of 47% which comes at the cost of BJP-Shiv Sena.

According to the Star News-Nielsen exit poll, while there is not much to separate the two alliances, it points to SP and BSP getting 24 and 25 seats in UP. Congress is predicted to get 10 seats, BJP would get 16 and RLD four. This is quite a change from the political scene that prevailed in UP both in 2004 and in the 2006 assembly polls. In Maharashtra, the channel said BJP and Shiv Sena would get 26. 

Link: http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/India/Congress-projected-ahead-in-exit-polls/articleshow/4525742.cms 

 

Exit polls, survey give Congress, allies a slender edge

NEW DELHI: The Congress-led alliance held a slight edge over the Bharatiya Janata Party and its allies across three exit polls/survey telecast by television news networks, while the Third Front crosses the three-figure mark in the 543-member Lok Sabha.

The Star-Nielsen survey shows the Congress leading from the front with a projection of 155 seats for the party, with its alliance notching up a total of 199 seats. The survey predicts the BJP-led alliance bagging 196 seats, with the leading partner, the BJP, projected to get 153 seats.

It gives the Third Front 100 seats, including 28 for the BSP and 25 for the CPI-M, while the nascent Fourth Front, is projected to get 36 seats with the Samajwadi Party bagging 26, the Rashtriya Janata Dal 8 and the Lok Jan Shakti Party 2. The survey gives no seat to the newly formed Praja Rajyam Party in Andhra Pradesh.

CNN-IBN projections based on a national election study with Dainik Bhaskar claimed that the results would be a photo finish, with the Congress and its allies being in the range of 185 to 205 seats. It gives the Congress anywhere between 145 and 160 seats, as against the BJP in the range of 135-150 seats for the party and 165-185 seats including its NDA allies.

The study projects the Third Front bagging 110-130 seats with the Left parties in a 30-40 seat band as against 25-35 seats for the BSP, which it predicts to be emerging as the single-largest party in Uttar Pradesh. Interestingly, it said the Fourth Front could get 25-35 seats, while it includes the BJD in others with a tally of 20-30 seats.

The India TV-C-Voter exit poll projections show the UPA with 189-201 seats. It gives the Congress 149-155, the DMK between 9 and 13, the NCP 12-16 and the Trinamool between 12 and 16.

The poll shows the BJP-led Front getting between 183 and 195 seats. It includes the BJP (140-146), the JD (U) 17-21. The Third Front is projected to bag between 105 and 121 seats. The break-up shows the Left parties in the range of 31-37 seats, the BSP (24-30), the AIADMK (23-29), the TDP/TRS (13-19) and the BJD (6-8). The poll gives the Praja Rajyam Party anywhere between zero to four seats.

Link: http://www.hindu.com/2009/05/14/stories/2009051457840100.htm

Exit polls project Cong ahead of NDA

Agencies Posted online: Wednesday, May 13, 2009 at 1839 hrs

New Delhi : The Congress-led UPA has been projected to have an edge over NDA and others in the Lok Sabha elections which are expected to produce a highly-fractured verdict, exit polls on television news channels show.

The results of the surveys, shown by the channels at the end of the fifth and final phase of polling in the month-long exercise, have placed the BJP-led NDA not very far behind the UPA and the Third Front at a little over 100 seats.

'Headlines Today' channel gave Congress and its allies 191 seats against 180 to BJP and its allies. The Left parties, which played a crucial role in the outgoing Lok Sabha with 60 seats, has been projected to get 38 while 'Others' including the BSP are set to get 134 in a House of 543.

In its projections, 'India TV' channel said UPA would get between 195 seats and it could go up to 227 if 32 seats of RJD, LJP and SP are added. The channel has given NDA 189 and the Third Front 113. 'Others' are projected to get 14 seats.

Exit polls had been way off the mark in 2004 Lok Sabha polls, with most of them projecting BJP-led NDA as the winner which did not turn out to be correct.

Ultimately, in 2004 elections the Congress and its pre-poll allies got 216 seats against a projection ranging from 170 to 205 seats. The BJP-led NDA had secured 187 seats against the projections of over 240 to 250 seats.

In the predictions by 'NewsX' channel, the UPA has been projected to get 199 seats against 191 of NDA while the 'Third Front' gets 104 and 'Others' 48. Congress alone is expected to get 155 and BJP two less.

'UTVi' channel gives UPA 195 and along with SP, LJP and RJD, it gets 227. The NDA has been given 189 seats and 'Others' 14.

Yet another channel 'News 24' gave projections made by the political parties. In the Congress projections, gets 218 as against 194 of NDA, 101 for 'Third Front' and 30 for the 'Fourth Front'.

The channel quoted BJP exit polls giving UPA 170 as against NDA's 215. The 'Third Front' has been given 125 and the 'Fourth Front' 33.

Link: http://www.indianexpress.com/story-print/458700/

 

India’s Congress seen ahead in exit polls

NEW DELHI, May 13 (Reuters) - India's month-long general election ended on Wednesday with one exit poll suggesting that the ruling Congress-led coalition was ahead of the opposition Hindu-nationalist alliance.

The poll showed the Congress to be way short of a majority, renewing concerns that a shaky coalition government will emerge at a time when Asia's third largest economy is faced with a slowdown and instability in neighbouring Pakistan.

Exit polls have had a mixed record in the past, given the difficulties of assessing an electorate of 714 million people, or more than twice the population of the United States. The polls were way off the mark in the last 2004 general election.

The poll by C-Voter polling agency showed the centre-left Congress-led alliance winning 189-201 seats with the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led alliance taking 183-195 seats of the 543 seats at stake. The poll was conducted for India TV and UTV Business.

A national projection by Headlines Today news channel also gave the Congress coalition a lead, but they did not give the basis of the forecast. More polls are expected late on Wednesday.

To rule a party or a coalition requires the support of 272 lawmakers forcing the Congress and the BJP to launch a frantic hunt for new allies.

The actual count of votes is scheduled for Saturday and results from all the races to the 543-member lower house of parliament will be known that day

The possibility of a hung parliament could mean the election is decided by backroom deals in the weeks after the election, perhaps leading to a short-lived and unstable government.

Indian shares fell 1.1 percent on Wednesday amid investor nervousness over the election outcome. Shares had rallied 4.1 percent in Tuesday's closing session on speculation the BJP would form the next government, traders said.

VOTING

Voting in nine states including the swing state of Tamil Nadu in the south ended on Wednesday, the final round of a process that began on April 16 to allow security forces to move across the sprawling country to supervise the vote.

The vote also included the state of Jammu and Kashmir where a former separatist and head of a faction of the regional People's Conference party, Sajjad Lone, has broken ranks to stand for election from Baramulla in the north of the state

Indian elections are notoriously hard to predict, but most polls had tipped Congress as the likely victor. Nonetheless, in the final stages of the vote, the pro-business BJP was seen as having gained late traction with some savvy alliance building.

Either party may have to depend on the parliamentary support of an unstable coalition of regional parties and the communists.

That scenario ould slow key reforms, such as relaxing labour laws, and rock investor confidence in an economy that faces a huge fiscal deficit.

A clue to which party may take power lies with Tamil Nadu, the southern swing state in 2004 election swept by Congress ally Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) and which now rules the state.

But Congress this time has lost allies in the state, one of the biggest prizes in the national battle with 39 seats. The party faces the resurgence of the AIADMK party, led by former film star J. Jayalalithaa, a likely powerbroker after the polls.

"The Congress is suffering because of the DMK's unpopularity," said Cho S. Ramaswamy, a political commentator. The BJP has no major ally in Tamil Nadu but could be supported by any of the two state parties if it is seen in a position to form a coalition government.

Link: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/359364ae-3f6e-11de-ae4f-00144feabdc0.html

 

Cong ahead in exit polls

PRESS TRUST OF INDIA

New Delhi, May 13: The Congress-led UPA has been projected to have an edge over NDA and others in the Lok Sabha elections which are expected to produce a highly-fractured verdict, exit polls on television news channels show.

The results of surveys shown by the channels at the end of the fifth and final phase of polling in the month-long exercise, have placed the BJP-led NDA not very far behind the UPA and the Third Front at a little over 100 seats.

‘Headlines Today’ channel gave Congress and its allies 191 seats against 180 to BJP and its allies. The Left parties, which played a crucial role in the outgoing Lok Sabha with 60 seats, has been projected to get 38 while ‘others’ including the BSP are set to get 134 in a House of 543.

In its projections, ‘India TV’ channel said UPA would get between 195 seats and it could go up to 227 if 32 seats of RJD, LJP and SP are added. The channel has given NDA 189 and the Third Front 113. ‘Others’ are projected to get 14 seats.

Exit polls had been way off the mark in 2004 Lok Sabha polls, with most of them projecting BJP-led NDA as the winner which did not turn out to be correct. Ultimately, in 2004 elections the Congress and its pre-poll allies got 216 seats against a projection ranging from 170 to 205 seats. The BJP-led NDA had secured 187 seats against the projections of over 240 to 250 seats.

In the predictions by ‘NewsX’ channel, the UPA has been projected to get 199 seats against 191 of NDA while the ‘Third Front’ gets 104 and ‘Others’ 48. Congress alone is expected to get 155 and BJP two less.

‘UTVi’ channel gives UPA 195 and along with SP, LJP and RJD, it gets 227. The NDA has been given 189 seats and ‘Others’ 14.

Yet another channel ‘News 24’ gave projections made by the political parties. In the Congress projections, UPA gets 218 as against 194 of NDA, 101 for ‘Third Front’ and 30 for the ‘Fourth Front’.

 The channel quoted BJP exit polls giving UPA 170 as against NDA’s 215. The ‘Third Front’ has been given 125 and the ‘Fourth Front’ 33. According to a UNI report, Star News has given UPA 199 (Congress 155), NDA 191 (BJP 153) and the Third Front 104.

COUNTING ON MAY 16

Meanwhile, long and winding elections to Lok Sabha finally ended today, but roughly half of the 71.4 crore registered electors participated in this democratic exercise that is widely expected to deliver a hung house.

The Congress-led UPA is looking for a new term in office while the NDA steered by the BJP is trying to end its term in the opposition, although it isn’t clear if one of them would on their own be able to muster the 272 seats needed to stake claim for power.

Politicians were fierce verbally during campaigning, but the elections itself were bloody with Naxalites attacking polling and security personnel in the first two rounds leaving over 20 dead. The Lok Sabha has 545 members, but elections are held to 543 seats as two members are nominated from the Anglo-Indian community. Counting will be held on May 16. 

Link: http://www.greaterkashmir.com/today/full_story.asp'Date=14_5_2009&ItemID=48&cat=1 

 

Lok Sabha battle ends, India heads for cliffhanger verdict

New Delhi, May 14 (IANS) India was headed for a badly fractured Lok Sabha making government formation a tough task, television projections late Wednesday showed, as one of the country's most fiercely contested battles for power ended after voting by some 428 million people.

Three projections put the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) slightly ahead of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with the Congress tipped to finish as the single largest party in the 545-member Lok Sabha.

As the curtains came down on the staggered elections that began April 16, an India TV exit poll said the UPA could end up with 195-201 seats and the NDA with 189-195 seats. The UPA tally could go up to 227-237 if the seats bagged by its estranged allies were included.

The Star News-Nielsen exit poll also put the UPA marginally ahead with 199 seats, just ahead of the NDA's 191 seats. The Congress itself was expected to win 155 seats and the BJP 153, both more than what they bagged in 2004.

TimesNow television channel gave 198 seats to the UPA and 183 to the NDA, with the Communist strength in the Lok Sabha falling steeply from over 60 to 38. Smaller and regional groups are expected to win 124 seats and thus determine who gets the throne in New Delhi.

The India TV exit poll gave the wobbly Third Front -- an alliance of the Communists and regional parties -- 113-121 seats. The Star-Nielsen gave it 104 seats.

The projections -- mirroring the pre-election mood across the country -- triggered a furious debate among pundits about who would get to rule India by cobbling a coalition of disparate groups.

Link: http://mangalorean.com/news.php'newstype=broadcast&broadcastid=124473

 

Last Vote Has Been Cast

An election official marks the finger of a woman with indelible ink before she proceeds to cast her vote at a polling booth situated 15,500 feet above sea level at Hikkim village, in the northern Indian state of Himachal Pradesh on May 13. Millions of Indian voters headed to the polls Wednesday to pick a new parliament in the final phase of the country’s month long national election.

New Delhi, May 13 (Agencies): The curtains came down on the staggered Lok Sabha elections on Wednesday with millions of Indians voting peacefully in the fifth and last round covering 86 constituencies, and the first exit polls putting the Congress-led coalition on top of a fractured verdict. Even as both the Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) claimed they would finish as the number one, an India TV exit poll telecast after balloting ended said the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) could end up with 195-201 seats in the 545-member Lok Sabha.

This tally could go up to 227-237 if the seats bagged by estranged allies such as Rashtriya Janata Dal and Samajwadi Party were to be included. The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) was tipped to bag 189-195 seats and the Third Front 113-121 seats, it said. But political leaders and analysts kept their fingers tightly crossed, with the expected cliffhanger verdict forcing both the Congress and BJP -- the two main contenders for power -- desperately scouting for new allies. As the voting progressed, some parties switched loyalties, making it one of the most difficult electoral battles to predict.

Link: http://www.morungexpress.com/frontpage/23400.html 

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