The India TV-CNX Exit Poll has predicted a clear majority for the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance in the 17th Lok Sabha -- and a second term for Narendra Modi as the prime minister of the nation.
The exit poll survey says the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) stands to secure over 300 seats; with the BJP's share of over 250 seats.
Furthermore, the survey has projected a gain of over 60 seats for the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA), taking its tally to 125 in the 17th Lok Sabha.
In politically crucial Uttar Pradesh, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is projected to be registering a vote share of 43.10 per cent, while the share of the Congress party is expected to be 14.05 per cent.
In the Hindi heartland, where the BJP had to suffer a defeat at the hands of Congress in the December assembly polls, the saffron party may face a down swing. The BJP is projected to lose at least 6.27 per cent of votes in Rajasthan; 2.32 in Madhya Pradesh; and 6.88 in Chhattisgarh.
The maximum percentage gain that the BJP stands to achieve in this election is in West Bengal. The saffron party is projected to register a growth of at least 15.69 per cent votes in the state.
India went to polls in seven phases -- starting on April 11. The seventh phase of polls concluded on Sunday (May 19) evening. The exit poll survey was conducted in all seven phases of polling from April 11 to May 19 in 542 parliamentary constituencies of India, among a total voter sample of 1,35,500 respondents.
The high-octane Lok Sabha election 2019 was interspersed with vitriolic attacks, counter-attacks, sporadic incidents of violence, some gloating by political leaders and much drama in- and outside the polling booths.
This election also bore significance owing to the coming together of as many as 22 Opposition parties to fight against one -- PM Modi. Leading the battle was West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee and Congress chief Rahul Gandhi.
However, there was a sort of infighting within the grand opposition too -- with the Mahagathbandhan -- Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) supremo Mayawati and Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav, and Trinamool Congress (TMC) chief Mamata Banerjee spewing venom against Congress, albeit separately.
Though the exit poll predictions in India have seldom gone wrong, when they did, they were a major blooper in understanding the Indian voter.
A big one was 2015 Delhi assembly polls, where nobody could predict the emergence of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) as a force to reckon with.
In short, the exit poll results do not tantamount to the actual May 23 result.
The survey findings only give an indication of what the people might have in mind while voting.
For the actual result, we will have to wait till May 23 when the Election Commission of India announces the next prime minister of the nation.