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Your next smartphone and TV will cost 6.9% more in 2026: Here’s why

The predicted 6.9% spike in smartphone prices for 2026 is driven by a critical global shortage of RAM. The explosion of Generative AI has forced memory giants to divert production away from consumer electronics.

Your next smartphone and TV will cost 6.9% more
Your next smartphone and TV will cost 6.9% more Image Source : AP
Written By: Om Gupta
Published: , Updated:
New Delhi:

There are increasing concerns that the prices of electronic devices including TVs, gaming consoles, cars, cameras, and smartphones are set to rise significantly. According to a new report from Counterpoint Research, the average selling price (ASP) of smartphones is expected to increase by 6.9 per cent in 2026, nearly double previous forecasts.

Surprisingly, this price hike is not driven by new taxes but by a severe global shortage of a critical component: RAM and AI and data centres are main reasons behind this shortage.

What is RAM?

RAM stands for Random Access Memory. It serves as your device's short-term memory, allowing laptops, smartphones, and even modern cars to store data temporarily for immediate use.

For example, when you run software, play a game, or browse multiple tabs, that data is stored in the RAM. This allows your device to access information almost instantly without having to reload everything from the much slower main storage drive (SSD or HDD).

Why AI data centers are causing this shortage

The primary driver behind this shortage is the explosion of Generative AI. To train and run complex AI models, tech giants like Google, Microsoft, and Nvidia require massive data centers.

These centers use enormous amounts of DRAM as fast, temporary memory to process vast datasets in real time. Because AI companies are willing to pay a premium for this high-end memory, chipmakers are shifting their production away from consumer electronics to satisfy this high-margin demand.

A market controlled by three giants

The global RAM market is dominated by just three companies, Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, who together control approximately 93 per cent of the total market share.

The supply strain was recently exacerbated by a major industry shift:

  • Micron exits consumer market: Micron recently announced that it will shutter its Crucial brand (focused on consumer memory and storage) by February 2026.
  • Prioritising enterprise: Like its competitors, Micron is reallocating its resources to support strategic AI and data center customers, effectively "choking" the supply available for smartphones, PCs, and other consumer gadgets.

How this impacts you

The shift in production is creating a "dual bind". While manufacturers struggle to make enough high-end chips for the AI race, they are producing fewer traditional memory products for everyday devices.

Impact Category
Expected Change in 2026
Smartphone Price Increase
6.9% rise in average selling price.
Component Costs (BoM)
A jump of 10% to 25% in total manufacturing costs.
Budget Device Vulnerability
Brands like Honor, Oppo, and Xiaomi are most at risk due to lower profit margins.
Spec Downgrades
Manufacturers may resort to reusing old components or reducing RAM (e.g., dropping from 16GB to 8GB).
 
The Bottom Line: Entry-level and budget smartphones will likely be hit the hardest. To keep prices "affordable," manufacturers may be forced to sell devices with less memory, inferior camera sensors, or older processors to weather the storm.

ALSO READ: iPhone Fold specs leaked: Massive displays, dual cameras, and shocking absence of face ID

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