Bihar Assembly Election 2025: Who was leading in how many Assembly segments in Lok Sabha polls in 2024?
The 2024 Lok Sabha election results have provided significant insight into potential trends for the upcoming Assembly polls. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) emerged as the dominant force in Bihar, securing 30 seats with a combined vote share of 47.23 per cent.
Bihar is gearing up for a high-stakes Assembly election, with the Election Commission announcing the poll schedule on Monday. Voting will be conducted in two phases—on November 6 and November 11—with results to be declared on November 14.
With the announcement of dates, political activity has intensified, particularly among alliance partners negotiating seat-sharing arrangements.
2024 Lok Sabha results set stage for Assembly polls
The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) won 30 seats with a vote share of 47.23% in Bihar in the 2024 Lok Sabha Elections. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Janata Dal United (JDU) won 12 seats each, while Chirag Paswan's Lok Janshakti Party-Ram Vilas (LJP-RV) won 5 seats. Jitan Ram Manjhi-led Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM) won a lone seat of Gaya. The BJP got 20.52% of the total votes, while the JDU received 18.52%.
NDA's performance: BJP, JDU and allies dominate
The remaining NDA partners include LJP (Ram Vilas) with 6.47% of votes, HAM with 1.14%, and Upendra Kushwaha's Rashtriya Lok Morcha (RLM) securing 0.58% of the vote share. If we translate these results into Assembly seats, then the JDU was leading in 74 seats and the BJP was ahead in 67. The LJP-RV and the HAM took the lead in 29 and 4 seats, respectively. The NDA as an alliance group was leading on 174 seats.
Mahagathbandhan's performance: RJD remains key player
The Mahagathbandhan won 9 seats with a vote share of 39.21% in Bihar in the 2024 Lok Sabha Elections. The Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), with 22.14% of the vote share, won 4 seats, while the Congress, with 9.20%, won 3 seats. The Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation won 2 seats of Karakat and Arrah and received 2.99% of the vote share. The Vikassheel Insaan Party (2.71%), the Communist Party of India (1.30%) and the Communist Party of India-Marxist (0.87%) drew a blank.
If these results are mapped onto Assembly segments, the RJD would be leading in 36 seats and the Congress in 12, while the CPI-ML(L) also held a lead in 12 segments. The CPI and VIP were ahead in one seat each. Overall, the Mahagathbandhan was leading on 62 seats.
ALSO READ: