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  5. AAP, BJP surge in Delhi opinion poll survey, Congress lags behind

AAP, BJP surge in Delhi opinion poll survey, Congress lags behind

New Delhi: Nearly 38.5 per cent of the 3310 sample voters surveyed by Cicero Associates have shown their preference for Arvind Kejriwal as the next chief minister of Delhi, with Sheila Dikshit trailing at 18.4

India TV News Desk India TV News Desk Updated on: September 08, 2013 9:56 IST
aap bjp surge in delhi opinion poll survey congress lags
aap bjp surge in delhi opinion poll survey congress lags behind

New Delhi: Nearly 38.5 per cent of the 3310 sample voters surveyed by Cicero Associates have shown their preference for Arvind Kejriwal as the next chief minister of Delhi, with Sheila Dikshit trailing at 18.4 and BJP leader Vijay Goel at 12.1 per cent.  




Cicero Associates is a Delhi-based public opinion and political consultancy firm which conducted the survey in the last week of August, 2013.

BJP leads the vote per cent share at 31 pc, Aam Aadmi Party at 27 pc and Congress third at 26 pc.

The survey clears shows Delhi voter's political mood is swinging rapidly, because of high prices of onions and vegetables, all-round inflation and corruption scandals.

Arvind Kejriwal is way ahead of Sheila Dikshit and Vijay Goel in Chief Ministerial popularity ranking and the poll predicts that while the BJP and the Congress have reached their saturation point in converting their support into votes, Aam Aadmi Party has a large head room for further growth.

The survey showed that as many as 14 per cent voters of Delhi did not recognize the name of Aam Aadmi Party. One-third could not identify the party's recently acquired symbol – the broom. Therefore, it is clear that the Aam Aadmi Party has converted only a little over half of its potential support of 47 per cent into votes so far.

Since the last such survey conducted in February, the Congress has lost 9 percentage points; BJP has lost 4 percentage points; while AAP has registered a significant swing of 13 percentage points in its favor.

When asked if the Aam Aadmi Party should get a chance to form the government, as many as 47 per cent respondents were favorable to the idea versus 31 per cent who were against it. For the current Congress government, only 37 percent were in favor while as many as 62 percent respondents were against it.  In the case of BJP too the proportion who wanted to give it a chance (33 percent) were outnumbered by those who were against it (52 percent).

For the post of chief minister, when given a choice between Arvind Kejriwal, Shiela Dikshit and Vijay Goel, 41 percent named Arvind Kejriwal, followed by 20 percent for Shiela Dikshit and 14 percent for Vijay Goel.   

A total of 3310 respondents were interviewed in the first wave, while 3325 were interviewed in the second wave.  The respondents were scientifically selected from the electoral rolls of 175 polling booths spread across 35 Assembly Constituencies.
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