Bihar Election Exit Polls highlights: CNX predicts 150-170 seats for NDA; Axis My India gives 130 seats
Counting of votes for all 243 constituencies will begin at 8 am on November 14, with the Election Commission releasing results progressively throughout the day as counting concludes.
The high-stakes Bihar Assembly Election 2025 concluded on Tuesday with a record-breaking voter turnout of 66.91%, the highest participation rate in the state since independence in 1951.
The second phase of polling saw the most enthusiastic response, with 68.76% voter turnout, while the first phase registered 65.09% participation. In a remarkable show of civic engagement, women voters outnumbered men at the ballot box — 71.6% of women cast their votes compared to 62.8% of men.
As the state awaits the verdict, exit polls have given the NDA a decisive edge. According to Axis My India survey, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is expected to get 130 seats in Bihar. As per the pollster, the Mahagathbandhan is likely to get 110 seats. CNX on the other hand predicted 150-170 seats for NDA and 70-90 for Mahagathbandhan.
Counting of votes for all 243 constituencies will begin at 8 am on November 14, with the Election Commission releasing results progressively throughout the day as counting concludes.
Live updates : Bihar Election Exit Polls 2025
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7:47 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Today's Chanakya caste analysis
SC
NDA- 58% ± 3%
Mahagathbandhan- 26% ± 3%
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7:45 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Today's Chanakya caste analysis
OBC and EBC
NDA- 55% ± 3%
Mahagathbandhan- 24% ± 3%
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7:44 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Today's Chanakya caste analysis
Brahmin, Baniya and Rajput
NDA- 63% ± 3%
Mahagathbandhan- 19% ± 3%
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7:41 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Today's Chanakya predicts NDA’s victory in Bihar
Pollster Today's Chanakya has predicted big win for the NDA in Bihar Assembly Polls. The predictions are as follows
NDA: 160 ± 12 seats
Mahagathbandhan: 77 ± 12 seats
Others: 6 ± 3 seats
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7:18 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: Vote percentage based on caste
Muslim SC Upper Caste Yadav NDA 8 49 65 6 Mahagathbandhan 79 29 14 90 Jan Suraaj 2 3 7 1 Others 11 19 14 3 -
7:11 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: Trend of Muslim voters
Mahagathbandhan- 79%
NDA- 8%
Others- 11%
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6:54 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: Seats predicted for NDA
BJP- 50 to 56
JDU- 56 to 62
LJP(RV)- 11 to 16
HAM- 2 to 3
RLM- 2 to 4
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6:51 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: Seats predicted for Mahagathbandhan allies
RJD- 67 to 76
Congress- 17 to 21
VIP- 3 to 5
Left- 10 to 14
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6:48 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: Region-wise seats
Mithilanchal
NDA- 32
Mahagathbandhan- 25
Jan Suraaj- 00
Others- 01
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6:46 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: Region-wise seats
Kosi
NDA- 16
Mahagathbandhan- 15
Jan Suraaj- 00
Others- 01
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6:41 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: Region-wise seats
Bhojpur
NDA- 27
Mahagathbandhan- 21
Jan Suraaj- 00
Others- 01
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6:39 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: Region-wise seats
Patliputra
NDA- 35
Mahagathbandhan- 25
Jan Suraaj- 00
Others- 00
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6:36 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: How Paswan caste voted
Paswan voters voting trend
NDA- 64%
Mahagathbandhan- 19%
Jan Suraaj- 3%
Others- 14%
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6:35 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: How Nishad caste voted
Nishad voters voting trend
NDA- 46%
Mahagathbandhan- 40%
Jan Suraaj- 3%
Others- 11%
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6:33 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India: How Kushwaha caste voted
Kushwaha voters voting trend
NDA- 58%
Mahagathbandhan- 24%
Jan Suraaj- 5%
Others- 13%
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6:29 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
RJD to become single largest party in Bihar, predicts Axis My India
Axis My India pollster has predicted that RJD was set to become the single largest party in Bihar.
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6:15 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India predicts 43% vote share for NDA, 41% for Mahagathbandhan
Pollster Axis My India has predicted 43% vote share for NDA. As per the prediction Mahagathbandhan is set to get 41% votes.
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6:14 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India gives one seat to Jan Suraaj
Pollster Axis My India has predicted one seat for Jan Suraaj in the Bihar Assembly Election 2025.
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6:10 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Axis My India predicts 130 seats for NDA, Mahagathbandhan to get 110
Axis My India has predicted 130 seats for NDA. According to the pollster, Mahagathbandhan is likely to get 110 seats.
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6:08 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
90% Yadavs voted for Mahagathbandhan, predicts Axis My India
Pollster Axis My India predicted that 90% Yadavs voted for Mahagathbandhan in Bihar Assembly polls.
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6:06 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Nitish Kumar's JDU set to become single largest party in Bihar, predicts India TV-Matrize Exit Poll
Nitish Kumar-led Janata Dal United (JDU) is likely to emerge as the single largest party in Bihar, with NDA projected to form the government, India TV-Matrize survey predicted. As per the exit poll figures released after the conclusion of the second phase of voting in Bihar, JDU is likely to amass 67-75 seats with 20 per cent vote share.
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6:06 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Bihar records highest-ever voter turnout of 66.91% as two-phase polling concludes, says EC
Bihar recorded its highest-ever voter turnout of 66.91 per cent in the Assembly election, which concluded after the second phase of polling on Thursday. This marks the state’s best participation rate since 1951.
The second phase witnessed an impressive 68.76 per cent turnout, while the first phase saw 65.09 per cent voter participation. Notably, women voters outshone men, with 71.6 per cent of women casting their votes compared to 62.8 per cent of male voters.
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6:05 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Tejashwi Yadav rejects Bihar exit polls giving majority to NDA
Mahagathbandhan chief ministerial candidate Tejashwi Yadav on Wednesday dismissed multiple exit polls predicting a clear majority for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Bihar assembly elections, saying such surveys are conducted under pressure by officers and are part of propaganda by "godi media".
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6:04 PM (IST) November 12, 2025
Bihar Election Exit Polls 2025: CNX predicts 150-170 seats for NDA
CNX pollster has predicted 150-170 seats for NDA in Bihar