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Will Modi change equations in Tamil Nadu politics?

The war of words between AIADMK leader and Tamil Nadu Chief Minister Jayalalithaa and BJP's prime ministerial hopeful Narendra Modi may impact national politics, but the more immediate effect will be on Tamil Nadu if

The BJP-led alliance may not have too many seats out of 39 in Tamil Nadu. But this will ensure the emergence of a new force in state politics. If the Congress collapses faster than expected, the BJP-led third front will swallow half of the DMK too in the state. Voters will gravitate towards Modi and Alagiri will lend a helping hand to take his long due political revenge. Stalin, the heir apparent to the DMK supremo, may find his dream short-lived.

Over the past three decades, the Dravidian parties have apparently started to lose steam. And this will certainly affect formation of the next government at the centre.

Irrespective of the BJP-led five-party alliance, the AIADMK is sure to get around 25-28 Lok Sabha seats out of the total 39, given the present political situation in the state.

One should not forget that Jayalalithaa made Atal Bihari Vajpayee sweat out by not writing the letter of support to the President of India in 1998. Will a similar situation emerge post May 16 if Modi does not make up with Jayalalithaa by then?