Regional parties hold key as NDA overtakes UPA, predicts India TV-C Voter survey

New Delhi: A hung parliament with the NDA overtaking UPA has been projected in the India TV-Times Now-C Voter seat projections made after a State of the Nation survey done this month (October). The survey projects NDA getting 186 seats, compared to UPA which is projected to get 117 seats, a huge downswing from the 259 seats that the ruling combine got in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections. In 2009, the NDA had secured 159 seats.The key to power at the Centre will be held by "Others", consisting of mainly regional parties, who are projected to get 240 out of a total of 543 Lok Sabha seats, says the C Voter survey. These include the AIADMK, SP, BSP, Left Front, Trinamool Congress, RJD, BJD, YSR Congress and TRS.The survey projects the NDA to get 35 pc vote share, compared to 27 pc for UPA, and 38 pc for others. The C Voter survey has included BJP, Shiv Sena, Akali Dal, RPI(Athawale), Nationalist People's Party of Meghalaya and Harayana Janhit Congress in the NDA, while the UPA constitutes the Congress, NCP, RLD, JMM, Muslim League, National Conference and Kerala Congress (Mani). The ruling Congress, which had won 206 LS seats in 2009, is projected to win only 102 seats this time, while the main opposition BJP which had won 116 seats in 2009, is projected to win 162 seats this time, says the survey. Among 'Others', the survey predicts 32 LS seats for Left Front, 25 for Samajwadi Party, 28 for Jayalalithaa's AIADMK, 31 for Mayawati's BSP, 23 for Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress and 14 for Lalu Prasad's RJD. YSR Congress and Telangana Rashtra Samithi are projected to win 13 seats each in AP, says the survey. The ruling Janata Dal (United) in Bihar which had won 20 seats in 2009, is projected to win only nine seats, while the DMK's seat share is projected to come down from 18 to 5 in Tamil Nadu. The statewide seats projection by C Voter survey goes thus: Andhra Pradesh: Total 42, YSR Cong 13, TRS 13, Congress 7, TDP 8, MIM 1. Arunachal Pradesh: Total 2, Congress 1, BJP 1. Assam: Total 14, Congress 9, BJP 3, AUDF 1, Bodoland People's Front 1. Bihar: Total 40: JD(U) 9, BJP 14, RJD 14, LJP 1, Congress 1, Independent 1. Chhattisgarh: Total 11 : BJP 8, Congress 3. Goa : Total 2, BJP 1, Congress 1. Gujarat: Total 26, BJP 22, Congress 4.Haryana: Total 10 : Congress 5, BJP 4, INLD 1. Himachal Pradesh: Total 4 : BJP 3, Congress 1. Jammu & Kashmir: Total 6: NC 2, Congress 1, BJP 1, PDP 1, Ind 1. Jharkhand: Total 14: BJP 6, JMM 2, JVM 3, Congress 1, Ind 2.Karnataka: Total 28: Congress 13, BJP 12, JD(S) 3. Kerala: Total 20: Left Front 13, Congress 4, IUML 2, Kerala Congress(Mani) 1. Madhya Pradesh: Total 29: BJP 23, Congress 6.Maharashtra: Total 48: Congress 11, Shiv Sena 14, BJP 13, NCP 6, RPI(Athavale) 2, MNS 2. Manipur: Total seats 2: Congress 2. Meghalaya: Total seats 2: Congress 1, Nationalist People's Party 1.Mizoram: Total seat 1: Independent/Others 1.Nagaland: Total seat 1: Nagaland People's Front 1. Odisha: Total seats 21, Biju Janata Dal 12, Congress 9.Punjab: Total seats 13, Congress 4, Akali Dal 7, BJP 2. Rajasthan: Total seats: 25, BJP 19, Congress 5, Ind 1. Sikkim: Total seat 1, Sikkim Democratic Front 1. Tamil Nadu: Total seats 39, AIADMK 28, DMK 5, Congress 1, CPI 1, MDMK 1, DMDK 2, Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi 1. Tripura: Total seats 2: CPI (M) 2. Uttar Pradesh: Total seats 80, Samajwadi Party 25, BSP 31, BJP 17, Congress 5, RLD 2.Uttarakhand: Total seats 5, BJP 5. West Bengal: Total seats 42, Trinamool Congress 23, Left Front 16, Congress 3. Delhi: Total seats 7, BJP 4, Congress 3. Union Territories: Total 6, BJP 4, Congress 1, Ind/Others 1.