Canadians headed to the polls on Monday (local time) to decide whether to extend the Liberal Party’s decade-long rule under Prime Minister Mark Carney or to hand power to Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party. The first polls closed in Newfoundland, with early trends expected shortly. Voting in key provinces such as Ontario, Quebec, and Alberta will continue for another two hours, with exit polls and initial results likely to begin emerging around 8:00 PM local time (approximately 6:30 AM IST on Tuesday, April 29).
This election is seen not just as a choice of Prime Minister but also as a kind of referendum on someone outside Canada: US President Donald Trump. The Liberal Party had appeared poised for a heavy defeat against the Conservatives until Trump secured a second term in the United States and made a series of threats against Canada’s economy and sovereignty, even suggesting it should become America’s 51st state.
Canada election result 2025 Live Updates
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Mark Carney’s Liberal Party won Canada’s federal election on Monday, marking a remarkable political comeback driven in part by heightened tensions over U.S. President Donald Trump’s annexation threats and an escalating trade war. Following the close of polls, the Liberals were projected to win more of the 343 seats in Parliament than the Conservatives. However, it remained uncertain whether they would secure the 172 seats needed for an outright majority, or if they would need the support of smaller parties to form a government and pass legislation. Associted Press has reported.
- Liberals take lead on 158 seats: The Liberals are currently leading in 158 ridings, while the Conservatives are ahead in 147. The Bloc Québécois leads in 25 ridings, the NDP in 10, and the Greens in 2. No ridings are presently led by the People's Party of Canada (PPC) or other parties.
- With 52% of polls reporting, the Conservatives have secured 114 seats so far, with 53.2% of the popular vote. The Liberals have won 108 seats with 50.4% support. The Bloc Québécois has claimed 18 seats with 8.4% of the vote, while the NDP has taken 1 seat with 0.5%. The Greens, PPC, and other parties have yet to win any seats. A total of 172 seats is required to form a majority government in the Canadian Parliament.
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Mark Carney retains Ottawa: Mark Carney, the first non-Briton to serve as Governor of the Bank of England since its establishment in 1694 and a former head of Canada’s central bank, entered the race to become Canada’s next prime minister in January, following Justin Trudeau’s resignation.
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The Liberals have been elected on 24 seats and are leading in 135, the Conservatives have been elected in 12 and are leading in 121, the Bloc Québécois have been elected in 3 and are leading in 21, the NDP have not been elected in any but are leading in 8, and the Greens have not been elected but are leading in 1 riding.
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Liberals projected to win: Global News is projecting that Liberal Leader Mark Carney will form the next government. Although votes are still being counted in parts of the country, it remains uncertain whether the Liberals will secure a majority or a minority government.
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Canada election party-wise results
Party Seats Won Leading Vote Share (%) Votes Received Liberal (LIB) 22 131 47.1% 1,027,643 Conservative (CON) 7 115 39.5% 861,639 Bloc Québécois (BQ) 0 23 6.7% 146,783 New Democratic Party (NDP) 0 6 4.6% 99,797 Green Party (GRN) 0 0 0.9% 20,462 -
The performance of two smaller parties — the left-wing New Democratic Party and the separatist Bloc Québécois — could prove crucial, as strong results for both in past elections have limited the Liberals’ seat count.
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Jagmeet Singh's NDP is yet to win a seat, is leading in one, and has secured 4.4% of the vote, with around 41,160 ballots cast in its favour.
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According to the latest projections from Global News, the Liberals have won 18 seats and are leading in 35 more, while Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives have won 5 seats and are ahead in 36 others.
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As per the latest counting trends, the Liberals are leading in 30 seats, having won 15 of them, while the Conservatives are leading in 17 seats, having won 5. Counting trends have come in from 73 out of the total 343 seats.
- A party needs to cross the majority mark of 172 to be declared as winner in the Canadian federal elections.
The Trump factor in Canada polls
Trump’s aggressive stance angered many Canadians and complicated matters for Poilievre and the Conservatives, given Poilievre’s stylistic and political similarities to Trump.
Poilievre, 45, is a career politician who campaigned with a Trump-like boldness, aiming to focus voters’ attention on domestic issues that had made Justin Trudeau deeply unpopular, particularly the sharp rise in living costs during his final years in office.
However, what was once expected to be an easy win for the Conservatives has tightened considerably. Final polls show a close contest, though Carney has pulled ahead as the favourite. The 60-year-old former investment banker, who previously served as governor of the central banks of both Canada and Britain, only became Prime Minister last month after replacing Trudeau.
Despite his short time in politics, Carney has consistently polled as the candidate voters trust most to handle the challenges posed by Trump