MP Opinion Poll: BJP likely to emerge as single largest party, Congress close second

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, Shivraj Singh Chouhan is the most preferred choice for the Chief Minister's post with 44 per cent, Kamal Nath is second with 39 per cent, Jyotiraditya Scindia at distant third with 9 per cent and Digvijaya Singh is at 2 per cent.

Overall, the BJP is expected to win 115 seats, the Congress will not be far behind and may secure 110 seats. There are a total of 230 Assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh. 

The halfway mark to claim the majority is 116. 

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, in the Mahakoshal region which has a total of 47 seats, the Congress is likely to take the lead with 26, the BJP may win 19 and others may win two seats.

Congress leads in Madhya Pradesh's Chambal region and is likely to win 22 seats, according to India TV-CNX opinion poll. The BJP is expected to win 12 seats.

There are 34 Assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh's Chambal region.

How do you rate your MLA's performance? 

• Fully Satisfied: 37%
• Partially Satisfied: 15%
• Partially Unsatisfied: 15%
• Fully Unsatisfied: 32%
• Can't Say: 01%

In the Bhopal region, the BJP is likely to win 16 seats while Congress may get 8. This region has a total of 24 Assembly seats.

Whose guarantee do you trust most? 

• BJP: 44%
• Congress: 42%
• Others: 10%
• Can't Say: 4%

According to India TV-CNX opinion poll, BJP is likely to lead in Madhya Pradesh's Baghelkhand region and may win 31 seats. The Congress is expected to win 19 seats.

There are 51 Assembly seats in Madhya Pradesh's Baghelkhand region.

Will Laadli Behna Yojana impact the election? 

• Yes: 47%
• No: 37%
• Partial: 13% 
• Can't Say: 3%

A look at how people rated Shivraj Singh Chouhan's tenure as Chief Minister? 

• Good/Extraordinary: 47 per cent
• Poor: 41 per cent 
• Average: 12 per cent

What are the main issues in poll-bound Madhya Pradesh? 

• Unemployment: 27%
• Development: 21%
• Inflation/Price Rise: 19%
• Hindutva: 15%
• Corruption: 7%
• Law and Order: 5%
• Nationalism: 3%
• Can't Say: 3%

In Madhya Pradesh's Nimar region which has 28 Assembly seats, a Neck-and-neck contest is expected between the BJP and Congress.

The BJP is likely to win 12 seats while Congress may get 15 seats.

According to India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, a close contest between the BJP and Congress is set to take place in Madhya Pradesh's Malwa region.

The saffron party is likely to win 25 seats, while Congress may get 20 seats.

There are 46 Assembly seats in the Malwa region.

A look at BJP's vote share in the last four Assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh

• 2018: 41.02%
• 2013: 44.88%
• 2008: 37.64%
• 2003: 42.50%

Congress' vote share in the last four Assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh

• 2018: 40.89%
• 2013: 36.38%
• 2008: 32.39%
• 2003: 31.61%

Madhya Pradesh Assembly Election Results 2018: Total Seats: 230 (Majority: 116)

Seat Share:

• Congress: 114
• BJP: 109 
• BSP: 02
• SP: 01
• Independents: 04

Vote Share:

• Congress: 40.89%
• BJP: 41.02%
• BSP: 5.01%
• SP: 1.30%
• Independents: 5.82%

Madhya Pradesh Assembly election on all 230 seats will take place on November 17 and the counting of votes is scheduled for December 3.