The recent alliance between the Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) in Uttar Pradesh might become a major roadblock for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the Lok Sabha elections this year, according to the India-TV CNX Opinion Poll. According to the figures predicted in the survey, BJP will have to do some major brainstorming in order to brighten its prospects like it succeeded in doing in the 2014 parliamentary elections.
To gauge the mood of Uttar Pradesh, India-TV along with CNX conducted an opinion poll, also taking into account major regions Like Purvanchal, Western UP, Bundelkhand and Awadh.
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BJP might suffer a loss of 44 seats in Uttar Pradesh in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections, according to the survey. In 2014, the party had won 73 out of the 80 Lok Sabha seats, which now might get dragged down to just 29 seats.
Before the formation of the alliance between BSP and SP, at least 16 Lok Sabha seats were predicted for BJP in Western Uttar Pradesh out of the total 30, which have now come down to 12. In Awadh, earlier BJP was expected to get seven seats out of the total 14, but now has plunged to just three seats after the pre-poll tie-up announced by Akhilesh Yadav and Mayawati. In Bundelkhand, one seat was predicted to go in BJP's favour, however, now it may fail to open its account in the region due to the SP-BSP alliance. No major losses were predicted for BJP in Purvanchal as the saffron party, which appeared to be getting 16 seats, now seems to be having 13 Lok Sabha seats on its side, the survey said. However, BJP will have to think and rethink its political case in Uttar Pradesh, which has highest number of 80 Lok Sabha seats in the country. In 2014, BJP had won 71 seats and its ally Apna Dal secured two seats.
Going by the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, it is only the SP-BSP alliance which is likely to be benefitted in Uttar Pradesh. In the 2014 parliamentary elections, Akhilesh Yadav's party had managed to win five Lok Sabha seats while Mayawati's BSP failed to win even a single seat. According to India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, the alliance may now be able to grab a whopping number of 49 Lok Sabha seats. In the survey before alliance with SP, BSP was predicted to get six seats in Western Uttar Pradesh. However, it might add another seat with SP on its side. SP, earlier predicted to get six seats, is expected to be benefitted by three seats in West UP after the alliance with BSP. In Awadh, BSP's Lok Sabha seats might go up from 3 to 4. On the other hand, SP's seats may go up from 2 to 5. In Bundelkhand, BSP was predicted to get one seat before the alliance while it might get one more now. SP's seats in Bundelkhand saw no change with two in its kitty in any case. In Purvanchal, BSP's Lok Sabha figures in UP might see a two-seat jump after the alliance. For SP, it is expected to go up from 10 to 11.
Congress, that had won Rae Bareli and Amethi, is likely to hold on to the two crucial seats this time too. The grand-old party may even fail to open its account in Bundelkhand and Western Uttar Pradesh, according to the survey.