The BJP in Gujarat is projected to get a record sixth consecutive term in Gujarat with the latest India TV-VMR (Votersmood Research) Final Opinion Poll predicting a clear majority for the ruling party in the forthcoming assembly polls.
The opinion poll projects BJP to win 111 out of a total of 182 assembly seats, while the main rival Congress is projected to win 68 seats, with three remaining seats going to 'Others'.
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BJP is expected to get seats within a range of 106-116, while Congress is expected to get seats within a range of 63-73, says the IndiaTV-VMR opinion poll. Vote percentagewise, BJP is projected to get 45 per cent, Congress 40 per cent and 'Others' 15 per cent, according to the opinion poll.
In the 2012 Gujarat assembly elections, the BJP had won 116 seats, the Congress 60 and 'Others' six seats.
According to Votersmood Research (VMR), the agency that conducted the opinion poll, a total of 6,000 interviews were conducted in 684 polling booths across all four socio-economic regions of Gujarat.
The eligible voters covering all age groups, gender and rural-urban divide were conducted house-to-house and face-to-face. The opinion poll was conducted from November 23 to 30, and an error margin of plus/minus 3 per cent has been kept.
Regionwise, the BJP is projected to win 32 seats (30-34 range) in North Gujarat, 29 seats (27-31 range) in Kutch-Saurashtra, 25 seats (23-27 range) in Central Gujarat, and 25 seats (23-27 range) in South Gujarat, making a total of 111 seats, says the opinion poll.
The Congress is projected to win 25 seats (23-27 range) in Kutch-Saurashtra, 20 seats (18-22 range) in North Gujarat, 15 seats (13-17 range) in Central Gujarat, and only 8 seats (6-10 range) in South Gujarat, making it a total of 68 seats. 'Others' are projected to win two seats in South Gujarat, and one seat in North Gujarat.
Voteshare wise, the BJP is projected to get 46 per cent each in South Gujarat and Central Gujarat, 45 pc in North Gujarat and 44 pc in Kutch-Saurashtra. The main rival Congress is projected to get 42 pc in North Gujarat, 41 pc in Kutch-Saurashtra, 40 pc in Central Gujarat and 39 pc in South Gujarat.
The Congress is projected to get a 4 per cent positive swing in Kutch-Saurashtra, while the BJP is projected to suffer a 6 pc negative swing in South Gujarat and 4 pc negative swing in North Gujarat.
Here are the regionwise prediction made by India TV-VMR opinion poll: