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  5. India TV-VMR Opinion Poll on Gujarat Elections: Modi wave to continue as BJP may win 106-116 seats with 45% vote share

India TV-VMR Opinion Poll on Gujarat Elections: Modi wave to continue as BJP may win 106-116 seats with 45% vote share

India Tv-VMR Opinion Poll predicts BJP may win 23-27 seats, Congress 6-10 seats out of 35 seats of south Gujarat.

Reported by: India TV Politics Desk, New Delhi [ Updated: December 07, 2017 16:00 IST ]
Saffron wave to continue as BJP may win 106-116 seats,
Saffron wave to continue as BJP may win 106-116 seats, Congress to get 63-73 seats

The political fervour is gaining pace in Gujarat ahead of the state Assembly elections, with the polling for the first phase to take place on December 9. 

The election has more or less turned into a prestige issue for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) who would looking to retain its turf, which it has been ruling for the last 22 years. 

On the other hand, the Congress is anxiously hoping to turn the tide with its aggressive campaigning and inviting manifesto, in which it has focused on appeasing the Patidar community and farmers of the state. 

At this point, India TV-VMR has come up with the final opinion poll, to get a glimpse of the view of the people of Gujarat about the upcoming political battle. 

It will be interesting to see if people have embraced Modi government’s economic reforms and infrastructural developments brought by it in the coastal state, or if they are convinced by the alluring poll promises made by Congress vice president Rahul Gandhi.

Here are the LIVE updates: 

The India TV-VMR Opinion Poll predicts that BJP will claim 106-116 seats, Congress will win 63-73 seats, and others will win 2-4 seats. According to the Opinion Poll, BJP will reclaim its turf.  

CENTRAL GUJARAT (40 seats)

India Tv - Saffron wave to continue as BJP may win 106-116 seats, Congress 63-73 seatsSaffron wave to continue as BJP may win 106-116 seats, Congress 63-73 seats

2012 results: BJP - 20 seats, Congress - 18 seats, Others - 0 seats

2017 seat prediction: BJP (23-27), Congress (13-17), Others (0)

2017 prediction: BJP - 46%, Congress - 40%, Others - 14%

08:16 pm: Opinion poll says International Rating and announcements for farmers is helping BJP. However, it says that Sardar Sarovar Dam project has not gained much for the saffron party 

08:09 pm: I am very confident that the people of Gujarat will vote for BJP when the time comes, the opinion polls show declined trend as of now because PM Modi have recently started the poll campaigning: Sudhanshu Trivedi

As of now, the opinion poll predicts that from 142 of 182 seats, BJP will win 80-92 seats, Congress will win 47-59 seats, Others may claim 2-4 seats

SAURASHTRA (54 seats)

India Tv - BJP may win 27-31 seats, Congress 23-27 seats out of 54 seats of Saurashtra KutchBJP may win 27-31 seats, Congress 23-27 seats out of 54 seats of Saurashtra Kutch

2017 prediction: BJP - 27-31, Congress - 23-27, Others - 0

2012 results - BJP - 45% (35 seats), Congress - 37% (16 seats), others - 18% (3 seats)

2017 prediction: BJP - 44%, Congress - 41%, Others - 15%

07:50 pm: We have not polarized Gujarat, instead we have provided curfew free Gujarat: Sambit Patra

07:43 pm: I would not like to comment on HardikPatel, but I am confident that the people of Gujarat would be congratulating the BJP on its win on December 18: Sambit Patra

SOUTH GUJARAT (35 seats)

India Tv - BJP may win 23-27 seats, Congress 6-10 seats out of 35 seats of south GujaratBJP may win 23-27 seats, Congress 6-10 seats out of 35 seats of south Gujarat

2017 prediction: BJP (23-27) - 46%, Congress (6-10) - 39%, Others (1-3) - 15%

2012 results: BJP - 28 seats, Congress - 6 seats, Others - 1 seat  

07:17 pm: 17,000 extra schools have been opened under the BJP government in Gujarat: Sambit Patra

07:15 pm: We have been in governance in Gujarat since the past 22 years. I would like to ask the Opposition about the agendas that they plan to bring, when they talk about helping the people of Gujarat: Sambit Patra

07:13 pm: We have always been very confident that BJP will emerge victorious in the upcoming Gujarat elections: Sambit Patra

07:12 pm: It is fortunate that the BJP is not on the losing end when you look at the opinion poll results: Sambit Patra

NORTH GUJARAT (53 seats)

India Tv - BJP may win 30-34 seats, Congress 18-22 seats in 53 seats of north Gujarat BJP may win 30-34 seats, Congress 18-22 seats in 53 seats of north Gujarat

Opinion Poll Prediction: BJP (30-34), Congress (18-22), Others (0-2)

Congress: 42% predicted in 2017, 40% in 2012

BJP: 45% predicted in 201750% in 2012 (5% decline)

7. Which caste is supporting which party?

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India Tv - Which caste is supporting which party? Which caste is supporting which party?

India Tv - Which caste is supporting which party? Which caste is supporting which party?

SC: 43% support BJP, 45% support Congress, 12% go with others 

ST: 47% support BJP, 39% support Congress, 14% go with others

Upper caste: 51% support BJP, 31% support Congress, rest 18% are with others 

Muslim: 19% support BJP, 62% support Congress, 19% others

6. Who is the most favored CM face in Gujarat?

India Tv - Who is the most favored CM face in Gujarat? Who is the most favored CM face in Gujarat?

06:39 pm: 16 per cent vote for Shakti Singh Gohil, 7 per cent vote for Bharat Singh Solanki, 2 per cent for Arjun Modhwadia and the rest 13 per cent for others

06:37 pm: 7 per cent vote for Anandiben Patel, 7 per cent for Nitin Patel, 5 per cent for Shankarsinh Vaghela

06:36 pm: 36 per cent say Vijay Rupani is the most favored face for CM: Opinion poll 

5. How much Hardik CD controversy will affect the elections?

India Tv - How much Hardik CD scam will affect the elections? How much Hardik CD scam will affect the elections?

06:35 pm: 60 per cent that it will not affect the poll result: Opinion poll

06:34 pm: 16 per cent believe Hardik has gained sympathy from it: Opinion poll 

06:33 pm: 24 per cent believe Patidars are angry with Hardik: Opinion poll

4. What is the meaning of Congress-Hardik Patel deal?

India Tv - What is the meaning of Congress-Hardik Patel deal? What is the meaning of Congress-Hardik Patel deal?

06:32 pm: 23 per cent say Hardik should give freedom to everyone to take decisions: Opinion poll 

06:30 pm: 22 per cent belive that Hardik should join Congress: Opinion poll

06:28 pm: 16 per cent people call it a double-game of Hardik: Opinion poll

06:27 pm: 26 per cent people say Hardik has been trapped in Congress' net : Opinion poll

3. Will Rahul's poll campaigning affect the result of Gujarat elections? 

India Tv - Will Rahul's poll campaigning affect the result of Gujarat elections? Will Rahul's poll campaigning affect the result of Gujarat elections?

06:20 pm: 24 per cent people say Congress will gain from Rahul's poll campaigning if the party announces its CM face: Opinion poll

06:19 pm: 39 per cent people again call Rahul's campaigning a flop show: Opinion poll

06:18 pm: 37 per cent people believe Congress has made a comeback: Opinion poll

2. How much will Congress gain with Rahul Gandhi's temple visits?

India Tv - How much will Congress gain with Rahul Gandhi's temple visits? How much will Congress gain with Rahul Gandhi's temple visits?

06:18 pm: 45 per cent believe Rahul's temple visits will be a flop show: Opinion poll

06:17 pm: 55 per cent people believe Congress will gain from Rahul's temple visits: Opinion poll

1. Will Dalit, Patidar, OBC go with Congress?

India Tv - Will Dalit, Patidar, OBC go with Congress? Will Dalit, Patidar, OBC go with Congress?

06:16 pm: 10 per cent people say they are not sure 

06:06 pm: 10 per cent people say they are not sure: Opinion poll 

06:05 pm: 9 per cent people believe that all three castes will not go hand-in-hand: opinion poll 

06:03 pm: 34 per cent people believe BJP will win the election: Opinion poll

06:00 pm: 47 per cent people say Dalits, Patidars, OBCs are with Congress: Opinion poll

05:50 pm: Any Congress leader elected by the party will be the CM face for Gujarat: Raj Babbar

05:40 pm: Did BJP elect Amit Shah by asking for votes on road: Raj Babbar on PM Modi's 'Aurangzeb Raj' barb

05:38 pm: Those who question Rahul Gandhi's religion should feel ashamed: Raj Babbar

05:36 pm: Patidars and Dalits are basically young people who are fighting for their rights, Rahul Gandhi is helping those youngsters fight and achieve what they want: Raj Babbar

05:35 pm: GST is being implemented in cities and the traders are suffering due to note ban: Raj Babbar

05:34 pm: Rahul Gandhi is moving ahead with the youth of Gujarat: Raj Babbar

05:32 pm: Yogi Adityanath is the biggest liar chief minister I have ever seen: Raj Babbar

05:31 pm: Rahul Ji has tried to manifest the problems of poor: Raj Babbar

05:30 pm: BJP has always tried to play religion game at the time of elections, may it be Ram Mandir or Godhra: Raj Babbar

05:22 pm: Ram Mandir dispute is not a political issue, it is connected with the sentiments of the people of India, says Union minister Giriraj Singh

05:21 pm: Congress made Rahul Gandhi a 'pandit', Kapil Sibal an advocate of Congress, not Sunni Waqf Board: Union Minister Giriraj Singh

05:20 pm: The India TV-VMR opinion poll was carried out between November 23 to November 30.   

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